US-Led Trans-Pacific Partnership May Have Chinese Competition

The Obama administration is looking to finalize its much-anticipated Trans-Pacific Partnership, an 11-nation regional trade agreement that, if successful, will expand American exports and economic influence in Asia.

As we noted previously, the TPP is still facing many challenges as negotiations draw to a close. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations recently unveiled plans for the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which would be the world’s largest-ever regional trade agreement.

The partnership includes ASEAN’s 10 member states as well as Australia, China, Japan, India, South Korea and New Zealand. Its creation raises several questions for the future of the TPP – namely, can the US-led agreement thrive alongside Asian-organized, competing trading blocs, especially if those blocs include China and exclude the US?

Some believe that competing pro-China and pro-US treaties may escalate current economic tension in the region, rather than alleviating it. The potential conflict also presents an especially tricky situation for Australia, whom the US sees as playing a key role in nurturing American economic activity in Asia.

Share

Trans-Pacific Partnership May Encounter Integration Issues

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) began as a small trade agreement between four Pacific nations, but has evolved into a highly influential FTA that, at this stage of negotiation, involves 11 countries and has invited several others for inclusion. The agreement offers a range of benefits for all nations involved, but integrating the very different economies of East and West may be more difficult than expected.

The agreement, which includes nine Asia-Pacific countries, could yield $295 billion globally, including $78 billion for the United States, and its template should provide free trade gains of nearly $2 billion. The reason for the TPP’s anticipated success is also the reason that drafting the agreement may prove difficult, however. Asian FTA templates benefit emerging-market economies that seek market access for manufactured goods, whereas US trade templates concentrate on advantages for the services, investment and intellectual property sectors.

A report published by the Peterson Institute for International Economics investigated the discrepancies in 21 trade areas in Asian and US agreements, ranked for depth, capacity and enforcement. The report found divergences in policy, of course, but some interesting outliers like labor, cooperation and government procurement emerge as potential issues that could bog down negotiations.

Additionally, issues that concern politicians on both sides of the Pacific – like technology and small enterprise – have yet to earn high scores on either template, as The Economist points out. Look for the negotiations to tackle some tricky issues in the upcoming months.

Share

China’s Online Censorship May Soon Be Considered as a “Barrier to Trade”

From the strict controls and highly filtered content, including the famously obvious “Tianneman Square” Google search, to the blocking of hugely popular social networking sites, namely Facebook, China’s online censorship has always been viewed as an unjust and uncompromising policy that is likely only to get stricter. However, the advent of social networking popularity and the exponential growth of online transactions (which are often international) has boosted the internet’s business value to an unprecedented level, and sparked a discussion of whether China’s censorship should be taken more seriously.

http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/About/General/2009/6/30/1246373469711/Customers-use-computers-a-001.jpg

In BusinessWeek’s March 9 article, China’s Facebook Syndrome, the authors discuss the idea that China’s blocking of the social networking site could be viewed as a barrier to trade.

Since 2009, China has blocked Facebook, the world’s largest online social media network. This year, Renren, one of China’s largest social networks, plans to raise $500 million on the New York Stock Exchange (NYX). So a Chinese social network can tap U.S. capital markets, but American social networks can’t tap Chinese consumer markets. Does that sound fair?

According to the article, the idea of internet censorship as a barrier to trade has been floating around since 2007 when the global director of Google presented it to the Office of the US Trade Representative, but has been treated similar to walking on eggshells due to China’s economic position, the legal reach World Trade Organization (WTO) trade laws towards censorship, and the unprecedented matter of the situation. The trend is inching towards de-censorship and openness of the internet though; for example a nonbinding clause protecting “cross-border information flows” is a part of the still-unratified Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement and stricter language regarding censorship is being “considered” for other future Trade Agreements. Whether this trend becomes actualized with China, however, is up in the air.

Here’s the problem: While the USTR has been quietly inserting language in trade agreements, perhaps to cite as precedent in some future negotiation with China, it’s playing a game of inches. China’s Internet users, some 400 million-strong, make up the largest Internet market in the world, one U.S. social networks are largely prevented from competing in. But if the U.S. moved more aggressively and brought a trade case before the World Trade Organization, it could alienate China, disrupting trade in other products—and the outcome would be uncertain. “They are definitely trade barriers,” says James Bacchus, a lawyer at Greenberg Traurig in Washington and a former WTO apellate judge. “Whether they are illegal under WTO trade laws is another matter.”

blog.searchenginewatch.com/100701-064616

Baidu – Google’s Chinese Nemesis

There is also an issue of fairness backing opponents of Chinese censorship. At the same time as Facebook is banned in China, several comparable social networking sites, including the Chinese version of YouTube which is also banned, are listed on US stock exchanges. Renren, a Facebook-esque social network which may not even exist without censorship, plans to raise $500 million on the NYSE this year. Consider if Facebook were exporting corn or wheat, the issue of a barrier to trade would be much louder.

Part of the reason the issue is not headlining is due to the lack of pressure which has been put on lawmakers. While Google has put up a fuss about China’s online censorship, it also acknowledges that the issue is about human rights, first. Google spokeswoman, Niki Fenwick, admits “When a government blocks the Internet, it is the equivalent of a customs official stopping goods at the border”. The wording of the standard WTO admission agreement, which China signed, does not help either, as it includes exceptions for enforcing national values and protecting public safety. Any push towards a barrier to entry ruling would be met with an argument that censorship protects China’s citizens from elicit material such as pornography.

The effort to promote visibility and open trade lanes between Chinese and international web users will not be resolved fully or quickly, at least not anytime soon. However, gradual inch-by-inch progress could be made to loosen policies and laws.  Lee-Makiyama, of the European Centre for International Political Economy, states that while “the WTO cannot get rid of censorship”, it could compel China to abandoned its worst practices, namely the lack of transparency of censorship policies. With knowledge of China’s notoriously socialistic politics and economic power, United States lawmakers looking to at the very least make more of an issue of this must apply necessary focus and pressure to the opening of the internet worldwide.

Share

Top Ten Tips to Tame Import Landed Costs

Our recent post on the compelling argument that Former President Vicente Fox made on near-sourcing from Mexico really begs the question: are you getting what you expected from China sourcing? It seems that a decision to source from China is as easy as recommending SAP for IT (or IBM for just about anything else). However, a recent study by the industry analyst Aberdeen Group reported that the total landed cost of goods – product cost and all related supply chain costs including transportation, duties, and taxes – varied from 2% to 10% for half of the 400 companies surveyed that import from China.

Now that the decision is made and operational, read on to discover ten strategies that can help your company tame those landed cost over-runs.

Continue reading

Share